We hear often on the tube and read in the press that we need to worry about the weather because man made global warming is causing “unprecedented” changes such as melting ice in the arctic. I have written before here and here about precedents in the 20th and even 19th centuries where scientists were worried about global cooling, warming, cooling and back to warming again and each time the global thermometer swung down or up and the doomsdayers were predicting ... well, doomsday.
From WUWT and getting a lot of main stream press at the moment in the USA is a copy of an article (below) on the melting ice in the arctic. Only problem is that the article is from the Monthly Weather Review dated November, 1922.
The melting was extensive enough that tours were organised for the wealthy to see this “unprecedented” event.
There are thousands of examples of this if you care to look and I will be posting a few more for your entertainment. It is interesting that you could change the date on that article to 2009 and no one would bat an eyelid. Let’s dispense with this unscientific misstatement of the facts that the current climate is “unprecedented”. It is an “argument” used either by fools or liars when the scientific evidence is that such events are not unprecedented. We’ve seen this nonsense being promulgated with respect to droughts and heat waves here in Australia, with respect to shipping through the arctic and with respect to hurricanes and flooding as if this is somehow unusual. If you think it is unusual please do the gene pool a favour and abstain from having children.
UK MET Director Pawned in BBC Interview
This is a link to a BBC program absolutely slamming the head of the MET in the UK. The so called climatologist is ridiculed in the interview. I was surprised by the video for three reasons:
1. It was the climate doomsdayist BBC that showed it! Even the BBC seems to be jumping ship or at least entertaining the idea of a smidgen of balance.
2. The MET director is being held accountable for past alarmist predictions that were inaccurate – this is a first for main stream media such as the BBC.
3. The interview was brutal without the kid gloves and free rein normally given to alarmists.
The MET director then changed tack and lied about the MET predictions saying that he had predicted cooling when of course the only “prediction” the MET made of any cooling was after the snow started to fall. It seemed to this observer that the TV host knew more about the weather than the director of the MET! It would be a good thing if alarmist climatologists responsible for the massive misallocation of community resources were held responsible and purged from the climate industry populated by politicians and scientists expert in dodgy excel spreadsheets and leave the field to the boring, less glamorous but more valuable qualified practitioners of the good old scientific method.
This blog is a about Anthropogenic Global Warming(AGW) which is global warming caused by the activities of man. The core issues are:
- Is the climate warming, - Is the warming outside of historic norms - Is it caused by anthropogenic CO2 - Will it result in global disaster as the IPCC insists
Only the first has been satisfactorily answered in part and the qualification is that the data upon which the IPCC claims are based has not been made available for full scrutiny as yet. The average terrestrial land temperature experienced slight warming this century. In some regions such as Antarctica it has cooled. The earth has been recovering from the Little Ice Age since 1650 (see Akasofu 2007 & 2009) which is one reason this warming trend is expected. It appears that this is not outside of historic norms (see Medieval Warm Period) and that the IPCC and some scientists have attempted to downplay the Medieval Warm Period and the effects of the Little Ice Age. The later two issues are not settled despite UN and government spin towards the contrary. For some excellent background from a real climatologist not implicated in the recent CRU revelations see the links to Dr Roy Spencer's blog below who discusses these issues as a professional.
Australia Joins China and Iran in Net Censorship - Nanny State Cometh
Pearls of Wisdom & Otherwise
Glenn Reynolds (USA - Instapundit.com): "I'll believe its a crisis when the people who tell me it's a crisis start acting like it's a crisis."
Nick himself (Counting Cats in Zanzibar blog): "Is it just me or has the spam-trade been entirely taken-over by performance poets on Arts-Council grants?"
Dr. Kiminori Itoh (Phd UN IPCC Scientist Award-winning environmental physical chemist): "When people know what the truth is the will feel deceived by science and scientists."
Dr. Stephen Schneider (Stanford professor of climatology, Lead author on many IPCC reports, in an interview with Discover Magazine 1989): "We have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we may have. Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest."
Former US Vice President Al Gore (now, chairman and co-founder of Generation Investment Management- a London-based business that sells carbon credits, in an interview with Grist Magazine 9 May 2006 re his book An Inconvenient Truth) "Nobody is interested in solutions if they don't think there's a problem. Given that starting point, I believe it is appropriate to have an over-representation of factual presentations on how dangerous (global warming) is, as a predicate for opening up the audience to listen to what the solutions are..."
New readers may be interested to peruse two of my earlier posts concerning the Fear of Global Cooling which was popular in the late 1970's. I have posted a copy of a Newsweek article together with comments here and here.